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Sporting KC vs New York Red Bulls: preview, predictions and how to watch

Sporting KC v New York Red Bulls

When: Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 7:00 p.m. CT (Kick-off 7:08 a.m.)

Where: Children’s Mercy Park

How to watch/broadcast: 38 the spot | ESPN+ (out of market) | SportingKC.com & SKC App (on market) | Sporting One app on Roku, Apple TV and Fire TV
How to listen: La Grande 1340 AM (Spanish)

Technically, Sporting Kansas City is not in last place. They slipped to 13th in the Western Conference and 25th overall in the standings. Even on points per game (which they’re last in the West), they’re 0.01 points ahead of the Chicago Fire (who have two games in hand) in the entire league.

Last week, Sporting showed signs of life. They were the first team to head to Nashville SC’s new stadium and hand them a loss (and the first team to beat them in one of their home stadiums in 25 games). Then they decimated a third division side in the quarter-finals of the US Open Cup by a score of 6-0. But three games in seven days proved too much as they fell to the Seattle Sounders on the weekend 0-3 (it was the turfs fault, right?).

Now they find themselves at home for the first time in MLS since losing 1-2 (Uri Rosell’s red card assisted) to the New England Revolution on June 12. Children’s Mercy Park was hardly a fortress as they went 3-3-2 in the league (but 3-0-0 in the Open Cup). With a week off, hopefully the team can start putting things in place. They are running out of time.

They will host the New York Red Bulls. A team that uses their Homegrown turf well but never swings big for Nominated Players or would be perennial contenders. They find themselves on a recovery after a trying year 2021. They currently sit in fourth place in the East, just three points behind the first-place Philadelphia Union and seven points behind LAFC-leading Supporters Shield.

Recent form of the Red Bulls

  • May 22 @ Inter Miami CF – Lost 0-2
  • May 28 v DC United – 4-1 win
  • June 11 @ Charlotte FC — Lost 0-2
  • June 18 vs. Toronto FC — 2-0 win
  • June 26 @ LAFC – Lost 0-2

As you can see, RBNY has been stronger at home than on the road, but that’s a recent trend. That year, they were 5-3-1 on the road (all three losses in their last road games) and 2-2-4 at home. So… Sporting caught them at the right time?

Also in this run are two US Open Cup matches (both wins) against Charlotte (road) and New York City FC (home).

What’s new for the Red Bulls in 2022?

The Red Bulls have made a lot of moves since the end of the 2021 season. They added 12 players and lost 11.

OUT: They sent forwards Fabio and Mathias Jørgensen, on whom they declined options. They also let the contracts of Kyle Duncan and Daniel Royer expire and lost Sean Davis in free agency in Nashville. Left-back Andrew Gutman’s loan has expired, sending him back to Atlanta United.

IN: One of the retirees is defender Tom Edwards who was on loan from Stoke City and has been loaned out again. He is joined by loans for Caden Clark (which was a complicated deal to conclude), back from RB Leipzig, and Ashley Fletcher from Watford.

The team also brought in goalkeeper Carlos Coronel from RB Salzburg in the transfer as well as midfielder Luquinhas from Legia Warsaw. Additionally, they made trades for defender Dylan Nealis (Nashville SC) and perhaps most important of all, winger Lewis Morgan from Inter Miami as part of their decision to free up some budget space. due to their cheating scandal. And of course they added through their Homegrown and RBNY II way, as they always do.

Injuries/Availability*

Sporting K.C.

OUT – Alan Pulido (knee surgery), Gadi Kinda (SEI – knee surgery), Ozzie Cisneros (tendon), Nikola Vujnovic (calf)

DOUBTFUL – Kortne Ford (head injury)

*This will be updated based on the official injury report. This is again last week’s report.

RBNY

OUT – Dylan Nealis (accumulation of yellow cards), Andres Reyes (foot), Lucas Monzón (hamstring), Wiki Carmona (foot)

QUESTIONABLE – Jason Pendant (health and safety protocols), Aaron Long (health and safety protocols), Luquinhas (health and safety protocols)

Discipline watch for Sporting KC

Next suspended yellow card: Roger Espinoza, Kortne Ford, Johnny Russell

Statistics

Sporting K.C.

Goals: Johnny Russell (5), Daniel Salloi (4), Rémi Walter (2), Marinos Tzionis, Roger Espinoza, Felipe Hernandez, Graham Zusi (1)

Aids: Felipe Hernandez, Cam Duke (3), Daniel Salloi, Ben Sweat, Uri Rosell, Roger Espinoza, Remi Walter (1)

RBNY

Goals: Lewis Morgan (7), Luquinhas (5), Patryk Klimala (4), Tom Barlow, Omir Fernandez, Aaron Long (2), two against one (1)

Aids: Fernandez (6), Frankie Amaya (4), Klimala (3), Luquinhas, Morgan, Dylan Nealis (2), five with one (1)

Starting XI Predictions

It will have its own story. Look for it closer to game day.

Predictions

While the Red Bulls have struggled on the road recently (see above), they are second in the league in points earned on the road. Sporting KC are 22nd in points won at home. That’s not a great combination unless recent RBNY 0-3-0 road form continues (although some of that is likely just Open Cup congestion).

Add to that the fact that New York is sixth in the league in goals scored and eighth in goals against and it gets even gloomier. The only real bright spot is in recent form RBNY have just nine points in their last eight league games, but Sporting have managed to be worse with just eight of eight.

These teams have played against each other fairly consistently despite being in different conferences (we’re three seasons down and SKC has never played in Miami for comparison). Last season SKC went on the road and won 2-1. In 2019, the teams tied Kansas City. And in 2018, the Red Bulls won 3-2 at home. Before that, they played in the 2017 US Open Cup final in Kansas City (which could be repeated this year) with Sporting winning the trophy.

On Sunday, I think Sporting are very capable of winning. The Sounders are a good team and it was a busy week of games. But I just can’t consistently pick Sporting KC to win games until they put together a consistent form streak.

Draw 1-1

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